Papers · Working paper · 2026

Where Backtests and Live Trading Part Ways: Six Defects from One Intraday System

September 24, 2026 · 8 pages · Working paper · submitted to SSRN, under review

Abstract

Backtests of intraday strategies can drift away from what the live system actually does; in our case, the drift never showed in summary statistics. We report six defects found while running one intraday US equity system live and comparing its live days with their backtest replay. Three came from data: a default feed that carried a small fraction of real opening volume, historical prices adjusted for dividends that live orders never see, and data the live system downloaded but the backtest never did. Two came from code: a sizing step that exceeded a limit the live account enforces, and UTC timestamps read as New York time. One came from configuration: settings that were switched on but never reached the code that places orders. For each we give the symptom, the size of the error, the cause and the test or control that now guards against it. All six sat where two paths that should agree had drifted apart. We close with a ten-point checklist. We make no claim about whether the system is profitable.

Keywords: backtesting, backtest–live parity, implementation error, market data quality, intraday trading, regression testing, research infrastructure

JEL classification: G17, C52, C63, C81, C88

Cite as: Alex Vidovich and Zivana Zerjal (2026). Where Backtests and Live Trading Part Ways: Six Defects from One Intraday System. Working paper, alexvidovich.com.

Research and educational content only. Nothing on this page reports the performance of any live system or makes any profitability claim.